Betting on lawn prices

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Lawn prices on betting increase in net working capital cash out flow from investing activities

Think, that betting and gambling difference between confirm

How to give yourself an edge So what you need to do, is find an alternative method of ranking the runners and coming up with a value or price, for the chance of each horse to win. Using the bare form is fine, but you need to delve a little deeper into the form or use another method, a method that the bookmakers don't use, so you are working on different form criteria to them all of the time. A very simple way could be to say that the horse with the highest Master rating should be favourite, the next highest second favourite and so on.

However, you probably need a little more information than just one rating and so we have created a spreadsheet that you can use, to combine any of the ratings from Inform Racing, and automatically calculate the chance of each horse, turn this chance into odds and then compare your odds with the betting forecast and the race odds themselves. The Inform Racing Betting Tissue Tool The spreadsheet is free to download for all subscribers, just log in to find the link for this.

You will also need to be a subscriber as the data required for the spreadsheet itself, is copied from our daily excel download which contains all of the information you will need and is automatically placed where it is required before you make any calculations, by the click of one button. Once you open the sheet with today's races on, you can play around with which ratings you want to use and how you want to calculate that data to get your tissue prices.

I started using the betting tissue tool yesterday and the second all age handicap race of the day came up with two horses which looked overpriced and in with a chance in the 3. You do need to consider one or two things when creating your betting tissue, as it would be very easy to just back everything that you find is bigger than your calculations say it should be and I will go through my ideas of what horses you may want to look for later on in this post. There is a video I have uploaded to You Tube on a link at the bottom of this post, which goes through exactly how to set up and run the betting tissue tool but just take a look at the image below to see the results for the Redcar race above and how we are using the data to create our own tissue prices.

Also you will also see that I am trying to get at least 1. You can click all images to enlarge them. All of the information is explained on the video but essentially you can see the four ratings I have chosen to use, the tissue price this all creates for each race, the minimum odds required for a bet on each runner and the two horses in red and bold type that I considered to be in with a real chance - Saisons D'Or and Oriental Lily.

For me on this very early test I came up with some pretty fair results but nothing is set in stone and you can choose any number and any combination of ratings that you want to. The good thing is, you can play around with this all day and see how results compare with all of you different combinations. So how best to use the tissue prices when you have them?

You may be able to see on the image above that you can add other form criteria to the right of the calculations and I chose to view the age of each runner and the race class. This means that you can see when a race is a race for just two year olds, just three year olds or races for horses of all ages. For me I would suggest concentrating on all age races as there are more ratings in general to go on and the form generally stands up well in these types of races.

Once you start using the betting tissue tool you can try all sorts of combinations of ratings and race types and you may find that races of a better class, races of shorter or longer distances, or whatever, seem to give you better results. I didn't back this horse because of the huge price but it was third favourite on my tissue price.

It was also a race for just two year olds so I possibly foolishly ignored this one but looking at the days racing overall, I think it may be worth concentrating on horses that are one of the first five or so in your tissue price.

That is not the forecast price, or the price at the off, it is your list of tissue prices. So you are saying that you believe in your own tissue prices you have created and as we know, the majority of winners come from the first five or so in the betting.

Others races to consider or omit You will find that a lot of competitive races or races with a lot of runners will be a no show because the horses all have decent ratings and therefore the odds show many horses at shortish prices on the tissue, so none of the first five or so in the betting come anywhere near beating your minimum required price.

However this is fine as it means you will only be betting in races where you think you have an edge on the odds and if this narrows down your betting, then this is not always a bad thing. In general, Maiden races or NHFlat races, don't have much form to go on and this can cause some odd looking betting tissues and are probably best avoided unless the majority of runners have plenty of ratings. Laying horses or trading in running If you look for the opposite type of horse, i.

Maybe look for horses that are less then half the tissue price, so horses that are 0. If you are serious about laying, then change where I have used 1. This would also be an interesting way of finding horses to trade on a Lay2Back trade, as we are expecting these horses not to win anyway. SP betting means starting price betting. The starting price SP is the official fixed odds price of each runner at the close of betting. The SP has many uses in horse betting ; it is the official odds price used for the form guide and all future references of the race.

The starting price is also paired with other bet types like Best Tote to provide a more appealing product to punters. SP betting example The example shows the betting fluctuations of three horses before the start of a race.

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It is incredible how accurate they are on the majority of races over the year, however, they can and do make mistakes and this is where you can pounce, when you find a horse that you think is much larger than the bookies have it priced up at. Clearly the bookies do have a network of people who hear the whispers about the current well being of a horse more than we ever could, but if you went through a race just looking at the bare form of each horse, it is likely that you would come up with the first three favourites that the bookmakers will have.

How to give yourself an edge So what you need to do, is find an alternative method of ranking the runners and coming up with a value or price, for the chance of each horse to win. Using the bare form is fine, but you need to delve a little deeper into the form or use another method, a method that the bookmakers don't use, so you are working on different form criteria to them all of the time. A very simple way could be to say that the horse with the highest Master rating should be favourite, the next highest second favourite and so on.

However, you probably need a little more information than just one rating and so we have created a spreadsheet that you can use, to combine any of the ratings from Inform Racing, and automatically calculate the chance of each horse, turn this chance into odds and then compare your odds with the betting forecast and the race odds themselves. The Inform Racing Betting Tissue Tool The spreadsheet is free to download for all subscribers, just log in to find the link for this. You will also need to be a subscriber as the data required for the spreadsheet itself, is copied from our daily excel download which contains all of the information you will need and is automatically placed where it is required before you make any calculations, by the click of one button.

Once you open the sheet with today's races on, you can play around with which ratings you want to use and how you want to calculate that data to get your tissue prices. I started using the betting tissue tool yesterday and the second all age handicap race of the day came up with two horses which looked overpriced and in with a chance in the 3.

You do need to consider one or two things when creating your betting tissue, as it would be very easy to just back everything that you find is bigger than your calculations say it should be and I will go through my ideas of what horses you may want to look for later on in this post. There is a video I have uploaded to You Tube on a link at the bottom of this post, which goes through exactly how to set up and run the betting tissue tool but just take a look at the image below to see the results for the Redcar race above and how we are using the data to create our own tissue prices.

Also you will also see that I am trying to get at least 1. You can click all images to enlarge them. All of the information is explained on the video but essentially you can see the four ratings I have chosen to use, the tissue price this all creates for each race, the minimum odds required for a bet on each runner and the two horses in red and bold type that I considered to be in with a real chance - Saisons D'Or and Oriental Lily.

For me on this very early test I came up with some pretty fair results but nothing is set in stone and you can choose any number and any combination of ratings that you want to. The good thing is, you can play around with this all day and see how results compare with all of you different combinations. So how best to use the tissue prices when you have them? You may be able to see on the image above that you can add other form criteria to the right of the calculations and I chose to view the age of each runner and the race class.

This means that you can see when a race is a race for just two year olds, just three year olds or races for horses of all ages. For me I would suggest concentrating on all age races as there are more ratings in general to go on and the form generally stands up well in these types of races. Once you start using the betting tissue tool you can try all sorts of combinations of ratings and race types and you may find that races of a better class, races of shorter or longer distances, or whatever, seem to give you better results.

I didn't back this horse because of the huge price but it was third favourite on my tissue price. It was also a race for just two year olds so I possibly foolishly ignored this one but looking at the days racing overall, I think it may be worth concentrating on horses that are one of the first five or so in your tissue price.

That is not the forecast price, or the price at the off, it is your list of tissue prices. So you are saying that you believe in your own tissue prices you have created and as we know, the majority of winners come from the first five or so in the betting. Others races to consider or omit You will find that a lot of competitive races or races with a lot of runners will be a no show because the horses all have decent ratings and therefore the odds show many horses at shortish prices on the tissue, so none of the first five or so in the betting come anywhere near beating your minimum required price.

However this is fine as it means you will only be betting in races where you think you have an edge on the odds and if this narrows down your betting, then this is not always a bad thing. In general, Maiden races or NHFlat races, don't have much form to go on and this can cause some odd looking betting tissues and are probably best avoided unless the majority of runners have plenty of ratings. Laying horses or trading in running If you look for the opposite type of horse, i.

Maybe look for horses that are less then half the tissue price, so horses that are 0. Everything we want costs money to get and now days the actual value of money has decreased which in turn has made products more expensive. Everything has a price tag and it is no different in sports betting. To bet a team, you must be willing to pay the price tag associate with the line and since the line is one of the most important factors to consider when placing a bet, finding the right price is crucial to your bankroll.

What does Price Mean? The price is associated with every wager type including money line, runline, puckline, prop bets, the point spread, the total and anything else you can think of. If they did, they would never be able to make any money over the long term, unless they had a significant edge over the betting public.

Instead, sportsbooks charge a premium for your average lines. The most common price associated with betting a particular team on the point spread is