Thoughts investing alibaba

The company went public in the U. Many believe that Alibaba's founders chose to go public in the U. Investors tend to trust companies listed on the NYSE because of the exchange's reputation and requirement for transparency. There is a greater range of motion for companies listed on the NYSE, as it allows for more seamless acquisitions of U. Control Many believe that Alibaba's U. IPO allowed founder Jack Ma to maintain control of the company. Even with foreign companies that plan to hold a majority of shares, the share class structure offers an opportunity to raise capital without giving away significant power to the new shareholders.

Reputation Not only is there an element of prestige in being an NYSE-listed company, but there is also a very practical advantage. Companies that trade publicly in the U. Although this often means learning new processes and more paperwork for foreign companies making the leap, it pays off in the long run. The increased scrutiny and transparency SEC oversight provides is seen as a plus by investors, who subsequently have more trust when reading a company's financials and making their investments.

A company like Alibaba can use that trust to position itself even more clearly as Amazon's primary rival. The U. The NYSE itself states the benefits of their exchange include improved branding and visibility, access to capital, and increased liquidity opportunities. Range of Motion A U. Having U. Alibaba became a partner of the International Olympic Committee IOC in , committing to transitioning the Olympics into the digital era.

This partnership will run until at least Alibaba is a Founding Partner of the Olympic Channel. Key risks include: 1 severe macroeconomic slowdown impacts online shopping growth; 2 aggressive marketing spending in local services and globalisation due to intensified competition; and 3 user growth falls below expectations. This should be a positive catalyst for the share price. As such, analysts and algorithm-based forecasters can and do get their predictions wrong.

If you are considering investing in stocks, we recommend that you always do your own research. Look at the latest Alibaba stock news, market trends, technical and fundamental analysis, and expert opinion before making any investment decision. Keep in mind that past performance is no guarantee of future returns. And never invest money that you cannot afford to lose. FAQs Is Alibaba a good stock to buy?

Whether BABA is a suitable investment for your portfolio depends on your personal circumstances and risk tolerance, among other factors. Will Alibaba stock go up or down? However, over the longer term, online forecasting site Wallet Investor was bearish on the outlook for the stock. Forecasters can and do get their predictions wrong. You should do your own research to make informed trading decisions.

Bear in mind that past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Why has the Alibaba share price been dropping?

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The regulator eventually let Tesla off with a slap on the wrist following its "sincere acceptance of the guidance of government departments" and "deep reflection on shortcomings. The media seem to have discovered that the creation of doubts surrounding Alibaba Group with negative connotations attracts plenty of eyeballs.

Never mind that truth eventually prevails - readers have short memories. For instance, it was only recently that rumors about the fate of Jack Ma , the founder of Alibaba Group, went wild. Despite Jack Ma's first public appearance after nearly three months of speculations about his well-being showing him in good shape, doubts remained whether he was indeed free or simply granted momentary freedom to make the CCP look good. Naysayers just won't give up! Perhaps a Bloomberg report that Jack Ma was playing golf in recent weeks at the Sun Valley Golf Resort, a secluded hole course on the Chinese island of Hainan, would finally put all speculations to rest.

Media feed on information gaps and Alibaba Group Holdings is not the lone victim. For instance, questions abound regarding what happened to Ri Sol Ju, the wife of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, as she disappeared from public view for more than a year. Turned out, she might have been simply taking care of her children and avoiding public exposure during the pandemic, if suspicions by South Korea's spy agency were correct. Hence, I believe that it's a matter of time Alibaba stock follows in the footsteps of its peers whether in the U.

Investing in BABA shares now is doing so when the market is undervaluing its fundamentals, clouded by a lot of fear, uncertainty, and doubts. Is the post-pandemic economic recovery in China real? Here, I will focus on that hot question: can we trust the numbers coming out of China and Alibaba? Specifically, is the post-pandemic economic recovery in China for real?

The rationale behind this is simple. If the data is not reliable, how can we rely on the incredible growth numbers reported by the Chinese internet titans like Alibaba Group? The driver for this mistrust is well-recognized: the official GDP figures reported had far too long been pretty predictable and stable, leading to the perception that the Chinese government had fudged the economic growth data.

For instance, TS Lombard estimated that China's economy contracted more than officially reported in Q1 In the last quarter Q4 though, China's official data had supposedly discounted the true pace of the economic recovery. Source: Bloomberg The beauty of economic data is that there are multiple data points.

This week, we have news on the impressive box office sales in China. That was despite most of the country's theaters being limited to 75 percent capacity with some areas particularly at risk for COVID subjected to caps as low as 50 percent. It seems, therefore, the discrepancy is stemming more from an inclination for smoothing of data than outright fraud. While I have full respect for data, I often find value in on-the-ground observations.

I recently came across a documentary seeking to tackle a popular question: why hasn't there been a second wave of the COVID pandemic in China, even as it manages to be the only major economy to post positive growth last year?

Now, I understand there is going to be a huge dose of skepticism on how close to the truth the contents of the video would be. Before you dismiss this creation as another CCP propaganda, note that the film was made by a Japanese director Takeuchi Ryo living in China. The colorful circles in the photograph as follows were not balloons, they were the headgears of marathon runners participating in the Nanjing Marathon held on November Since the target audience is in his home country, I suspect the documentary would get more eyeballs if he portrayed a negative image of China.

However, he chose to present the answers as a matter-of-factly, in the manner of field inspections to enterprises and industries that have achieved positive business growth amid the pandemic. I found the documentary relevant to share with readers as it provided an on-the-ground perspective to understand how China's economy is recovering. In particular, it features Alibaba Group's logistics unit Cainiao and has a segment on the booming livestreaming e-commerce phenomenon.

The documentary began with the Nanjing Marathon as a backdrop. The director, pictured in the foreground of the snapshot as follows, exclaimed that China was able to hold an event with over 10, participants with thousands more from the organizing committee and supporters even as the Japan Olympics was in doubt. The pandemic would worsen in the weeks to come. China reported 11 new cases that day, nationally, with current infections.

Source: worldometers. While it was not elaborated by the presenter, I believe this segment of self-driving buses was pertinent to his explanation of how China overcame the pandemic as some of the early cases of COVID in Japan were linked to bus drivers. They were probably infected by the earlier passengers and became carriers to infect fresh batches of passengers. Source: Snapshots from YouTube video Thus, buses without drivers would eliminate this key factor of transmission.

However, such self-driving buses are still a very small part of the overall fleet in China and unlikely to play a significant role currently. It is, however, a good prelude to the more major player - Cainiao's distribution robots or automated guided vehicles [AGV]. Although the video highlighted Cainiao's extensive deployment of the AGVs in its warehouses, it's important to note that other logistics players and e-commerce platforms are also adopting such robots to assist in the retrieval of ordered items.

On a national level, they have helped to alleviate the labor crunch, especially during the lockdowns early last year, as well as enabled the prompt and efficient dissemination of essential food items and goods across China. Source: Snapshot from YouTube video the yellow lines were drawn by ALT Perspective to draw attention to the AGVs The director was introduced to the next key cog in the delivery chain - self-driving delivery robots.

Cainiao calls them the "Xiaomanlv" which is the romanization of their Chinese name "Little Donkey". These unmanned last-mile last three kilometers in this case vehicles bring the ordered items to designated collection points conveniently located in the neighborhood. Customers would need to scan a QR code displayed on a screen on the vehicles to identify themselves and retrieve their orders accordingly.

This is not alien to those who read my February article detailing the use of such vehicles by JD. Source: Snapshot from YouTube video There are several advantages to such a system. I will highlight two. Firstly, e-commerce platforms like Alibaba used to place items in a designated room in a compound and customers need to congregate to a typically crammed area to retrieve their orders.

This resulted in inconvenience for the customers surely it's better for the vehicles to come to you and the crowding would be risky amidst the pandemic. Secondly, in commercial areas, the e-commerce platforms save time for the sourcing and the cost of renting premises for such "orders collection points".

There is also no need for employees to station at those points to facilitate collection or prevent thefts. Livestreaming is taking the e-commerce industry by storm The second chapter of the documentary featured the livestreaming e-commerce phenomenon in China. The segment was full of anecdotes about just how fast eager consumers lapped up goods peddled by their favorite livestreaming hosts who touted the merits of the items over short live broadcast sessions.

I think Alibaba can likely achieve its target on both counts. As internet penetration increases in the less developed regions, I think the gap in user penetration between the developed and less developed regions will narrow. Alibaba has also set its sights on growing its global e-commerce platforms. Source: Alibaba Investor Day Lazada presentation And though Shopee is a strong competitor to Lazada in the region, I think the market in Southeast Asia is big enough for two large players to coexist.

Cloud Computing: an important growth driver Besides its core e-commerce segment, Alibaba also has cloud computing, digital media, and innovation initiatives. The three other segments are relatively small compared to its core e-commerce business but Alibaba Cloud could potentially become an important source of profits and cash flows in the future. Subsequently, Alibaba decided to monetise this technology by providing it to other third party customers.

Although this segment is still unprofitable, cloud services could be a hugely profitable and high margin business as demonstrated by Amazon Web Services. As Alibaba scales its cloud computing business, it can possibly become a profitable high margin business. Risks As with any company, there are risks.

The US has also threatened to delist Chinese companies from their stock exchanges. This ownership structure may not be as robust as owning a direct interest in a company. There is also the risk that Alibaba is not able to execute its growth strategy well, especially in Southeast Asia where there is stiff competition from numerous players. If Alibaba is not able to grow as fast as the market expects, there may be a valuation compression.

Final thoughts Alibaba comes with its own set of risks. The VIE structure, high valuation, and competition in Southeast Asia are just some of the risks to note. But Alibaba also has the potential to become a good long-term investment. It is a dominant player in a fast-growing market, has a network effect that is difficult to erode and its cloud computing segment could become an important cash generator in the future.

Disclaimer: The Good Investors is the personal investing blog of two simple guys who are passionate about educating Singaporeans about stock market investing.

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