Nba betting strategies

Any NBA team can defeat any of the other 29 teams in the league on a given night. To bet on a large underdog, you should be able to at least envision them potentially winning the game, and not just covering. If a favorite goes down early, their odds might drop several points in live betting.

If you can time your bet correctly, because live betting moves extremely fast, you might be able to get your bet in on a favorite at a much lower price than you could have ever dreamed of getting before the game started. With live betting you need to predict which outcomes are just momentum swings and which games are actually mismatches, where the favorite may never catch up.

If a team you want to bet on has played four games in six days, they are likely exhausted and you might want to avoid that wager. However, what if both teams are playing the second half of a back-to-back, or are both in the middle of a brutal schedule. Did one team get to rest their starters in the fourth quarter the previous night while the other team went to overtime?

There are all major factors to consider when betting on NBA teams. When you are looking at betting odds the team with the minus - next to their name is the favorite, they are expected to win. If you bet on the Grizzlies, you would need them to win by more than 1. So, if Memphis ends up winning by one point, a bet on the Grizzlies would be a loser.

Alternatively, if you bet on the Wizards, they would either need to win the game or lose by less than 2 points. In general you will almost always see numbers between and Betting on the moneyline is simply betting on a winner. But all games are not created equally and the odds vary wildly from game to game. Your bankroll is the amount of money you have set aside to bet during the course of a season.

A betting unit is the amount of money you generally wager on a given bet. That does not have to be a fixed number but many people like to keep the number the same from bet to bet. You do not have to bet ten dollars on each game, however.

This is your best bet of the season so far, the most confident you have been all year. With a bet like that, you might want to consider putting multiple units on the game. Whatever your NBA betting unit is, you should always be tracking every one of your bets. That way you can tell what percentage of your bets have been winners, which teams you have had success betting on or have struggled betting against.

The best bettor is a well-prepared one, so you should be doing as much research as possible before a game and then analyzing what went right or wrong after games. If you are a Phoenix Suns fan that does not mean you need to be betting on the Phoenix Suns every game. While a Suns fan might have more information about the team than a random bettor, your love for the team can also cloud your judgment.

Poor Bankroll Management Over the years, more bettors have been ruined by poor bankroll management than any other factor. No bettor is expected to win every bet, but you need to bet within your means. Pick and choose your spots and you will see more long term success. Chasing Losses with Larger Bets Another massive mistake a bettor can make is to chase their losses by doubling down the next night. Betting Without Research Modern online NBA betting is so accessible that it is simple to place a bet with just one or two clicks of the mouse.

However, successful betting is done as a long process and if you want to be a winner over the long road, you should never place a single bet without doing your research first. Even if you have a strong gut feel, make sure that the data confirms it!

That number jumped to However, the opposite is usually true. The number crunchers at Sports Insights have found that home favorites of ten points or more who are fresh off of point victories beat the spread just Teams that hammer their opponents one game are unlikely to do so the following night. In other words, teams that hammer their opponents one game are unlikely to do so the following night. That statistical drop off could be the result of player fatigue or overconfidence or a result of the oddsmakers overreacting to the previous game.

The Bounce Back System On the flipside, NBA teams coming off of poor offensive performances have a remarkable knack for bouncing back during their next home game. Must be the power of home cooking. The experts at TheSportsGeek. The analytics specialists at numberFire conducted a fascinating study in in which they examined the effects of back-to-backs on teams that were above and below.

These are invaluable insights to consider when making your next bet. All of these factors can cause a tremendous drop off from one game to the next. The Tunnel System Imagine being able to drastically reduce your risk of loss in every bet you make. You can, by properly employing the Tunnel Betting System.

This sneaky strategy takes advantage of the fact that competing sportsbooks often offer different game totals while still offering the same odds. Rockets at points, while another has it at points. In both cases, the Rockets are listed as nine-point favorites. If you were to use the Tunnel System, you would bet the over at one sportsbook, and the under at another sportsbook.

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Better Odds At The Beginning Of The Season In the early part of the season, larger line movements will be more frequent due to odds being more inefficient to start the season compared to later in the year. Nevertheless, it is vital to realize their lines are not as sharp as they are later in the season when compared to the first two months.

This is something you might want to consider while testing your NBA betting strategy at the beginning of the season. One of the areas to focus on here is possessions per game. The number of possessions per game directly correlates to the tempo and pace that each team plays. Teams that are defensive focused and more methodical on the defensive end will be on the lower end of possessions due to their playing style.

Determining how a game might play out from a tempo and scoring perspective can be easier than picking the winner on the point spread or moneyline. In fact, no NBA betting strategy could be complete without including some in-game action. Basketball is a game of runs. Playing at home comes with its own pressure. When seeing a home underdog, a good strategy is to take them on the spread. It will be unlikely that they will lose by more than ten points. While this relies on the home side to perform for their home fans, it has been a proven tactic to gain returns throughout the history of the NBA.

Study The Markets Studying the betting markets could be the most sensible strategy. You can immediately react to the selections that are proving popular with expert bettors. This requires tracking the most important markets throughout the day. If a selection begins to shorten, you make your bet.

This is a proven successful technique for betting on all sports. The market moving will indicate that significant amounts of money have been placed on selections. Experts making their picks is always something to keep an eye on. This will give even the most novice bettors the best chance of landing returns. Tags: Dan Eisenberg Dan has been an avid sports psychologist and meteorologist for the latter portion of his life.